Central America Economic Review


An independent, data-driven research platform analyzing Central American economies. Drawing on institutional data and regional expertise, the publication examines fiscal, economic, and social trends to clarify the forces shaping the region’s markets and development.

All analysis is grounded in publicly available data from international financial institutions, central banks, and national statistical agencies. Data may be revised as source institutions update their releases. Central America Economic Review is not affiliated with any government or institution.

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Introducing the Central America Composite Index (CACI)

The Central America Composite Index (CACI) is a proprietary benchmark designed to measure macroeconomic resilience across the region. Built on five strategic quantitative pillars, the index provides accelerated quarterly analyses that capture both fiscal sustainability and structural economic strength.

CENTRAL AMERICA COMPOSITE INDEX (2026 Q1 SUMMARY)

Guatemala: 4.16

Costa Rica: 4.06

Panama: 3.72

El Salvador: 3.02

Honduras: 2.83

Nicaragua: 2.37

Belize: 2.34

For details on our in-house framework, see the SUMMARY & METHODOLOGY page.

© 2026 Central America Economic Review. All Rights Reserved.

Disclaimer: Index Scores are based on February 2026 accessed data sources. This scoring metric is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.

2026 Central America Economic Intelligence

Macroeconomic Projections & Nationally-Owned Market Leaders

Panama
GDP Growth+4.3%
Inflation2.1%
Debt / GDP53.8%
GDP Per Cap$19,200
National Market Leaders
Copa Holdings, Motta Group, Banco General
2026 Institutional Risk
Hydrological patterns impacting Canal transit quotas and logistics revenue.
Costa Rica
GDP Growth+3.8%
Inflation2.0%
Debt / GDP58.5%
GDP Per Cap$16,100
National Market Leaders
FIFCO (Florida Ice & Farm), Dos Pinos, Grupo Purdy
2026 Institutional Risk
Fiscal pressures from public health system debt and rising energy costs.
Guatemala
GDP Growth+3.9%
Inflation2.2%
Debt / GDP29.1%
GDP Per Cap$5,950
National Market Leaders
Corporación Multi Inversiones (CMI), CBC, Corporación AG
2026 Institutional Risk
Legislative gridlock impacting infrastructure investment and rule of law.
Honduras
GDP Growth+3.5%
Inflation4.0%
Debt / GDP47.2%
GDP Per Cap$3,150
National Market Leaders
Grupo Ficohsa, Dinant, Grupo Atlántida
2026 Institutional Risk
Energy sector debt (ENEE) and uncertainty regarding employment legal frameworks.
El Salvador
GDP Growth+2.5%
Inflation2.2%
Debt / GDP74.2%
GDP Per Cap$5,450
National Market Leaders
Grupo Poma, Grupo Agrisal, Grupo Calleja
2026 Institutional Risk
High debt servicing ratios and reliance on US immigration policy for remittances.
Nicaragua
GDP Growth+3.1%
Inflation6.8%
Debt / GDP46.5%
GDP Per Cap$2,550
National Market Leaders
Grupo Pellas (Flor de Caña), Banpro (Grupo Promerica), LAFISE
2026 Institutional Risk
Diplomatic isolation and international sanctions restricting multilateral credit.